Soccer Betting – The Footyforecast Method


Soccer Betting can be a set of articles that describe some well understood and well used statistical methods that will help the soccer punter make more enlightened stakes. Each of the techniques has its own advantages and disadvantages and using these in isolation will enhance your odds of winning. But together they will prove invaluable on your battle with the bookies. In each guide we will describe at length how a specific method works giving you enough information for you to go ahead and produce your own predictions. We’ll even provide you advice regarding where you could already find websites that utilize this particular technique in comprising their weekly football gaming predictions.

The statistical methods described within this pair of sbobet asia articles should enable you to arrive at a better decision concerning the match, or matches, that you’re betting on.

Within this article we’ll be describing the Footyforecast approach. The Footyforecast method was originally developed for the English Soccer Drills and tries to eliminate those games which won’t be draws, leaving you having a briefer set of matches from which to choose your 8 from 1-1. This method was introduced to this world in 1999 on the initial Footyforecast web site (currently 1X2Monster. com). This system is like the easy Sequence method which is described in the following of our articles within this series.

Here are the standard rules…

For each teamwork from these, 1. Workout the total number of points obtained for the last N matches. 2. Work out the most number of potential points for your last N games. 3. Divide the total number of points obtained by the most available and multiply by 100. 4. Calculate the prediction value. Back in (1) and (2) above N games could be the home games for the side and all of the off games to the other hand. Alternately N might be the last N matches including all home and away games to get some team. The forecast value is calculated like this…

HOMEPOINTS = quantity of points for home staff from past N games

AWAYPOINTS = amount of factors for away staff from past N matches


FORECAST = (HOMEVAL + (100 – AWAYVAL)) / two

To compute the possible results of a match based on the Footyforecast procedure the value is compared with all the next… 1. A prediction value of 50 = a draw. 2. 3. A value between 50 and 0 gives an increasing potential for an away win the closer . You can find a number of variables to consider, for example the number of games to use and if to utilize all matches or just home for home side and only away for off side to name but 2. You may want to experiment with these values. By plotting real consequent pulls against the forecast it is possible to build two threshold values, one for away wins and one for home wins, any values in-between these thresholds are most likely draws. All matches outside these thresholds won’t be as inclined to function as pulls. For instance a value of 40 or not for off wins and also a price of 60 or more for home wins. This would signify any matches falling between 41 and 59 may be draws. This method does, together with careful tuning by the consumer is always to remove many matches which are not attracts providing you a short list to pick from. This way is better used where an English Pools Plan is to be utilized.

Here’s a worked example…

The values shown are the points gained by the team to each game in a succession of four matches, you ofcourse may choose more games to base your calculations . This could possibly be translated as a x-2 prediction, i.e. draw or win, and some bookies will accept as a bet.

Now it’s your turn…

Ofcourse you might decide to use various values to those shown previously and by experimentation you may develop with better worth to make use of. You can also choose to make use of all of home and away games played by each team in your calculations instead of only home games to your home team and away games for the away team. You might decide to have different thresholds than those displayed above. You may also find it beneficial to storyline actual results from the Footyforecast strategy forecasts to see how many actual draws fall from the away win, draw, and home triumph forecast zones.

If you have the required skills you can disappear completely and construct your own spreadsheet of data or write a piece of applications to simply take in fixtures and results and apply the Footyforecast method to important computer data. Or, if you’re lazy like me, then you might grab some free applications that already does this to you. 1X2Monster and Footyforecast are providing this sort of facility since 1999. A number of seven different statistical methods are used to determine the outcome of each game played each match, and a thorough record of how each method in each game performed is maintained. Apart from how each tip performed within its respective league 1X2Monster also gives the league tables of how each league has played in successfully predicting outcomes of matches. The league tables of forecast performance are produced for home win forecasts, draw predictionsaway win predictions, and for over all predictions and therefore are valuable tools to the soccer punter when deciding on where to target their own European soccer betting predictions.

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